A
presumption is that due to quantum effects at the very small
level and chaos effects at the very large - prediction, and
thus intelligence, will remain illusory. Added uncertainty
arises with other biologically constructed animated beings.
Constrained by physical law, yet animated by reflex, genetically
programmed instinct, or from their internal cognitive processes.
How can such complexity ever be intelligently predicted? Yet
we ourselves appear able, at least to some extent, to overcome
all of these effects.
At
the atomic level, it is rarely necessary to predict particle
animation with certainty, because all significant effects
occur in the aggregate, where statistical probability can
reliably model behavior. Also, predictions can be constrained
to avoid chaotic events (so rather than walk a tightrope to
get from A to B you take the foot bridge). With biology, statistical
prediction still works well on macro events, but is limited
in the details. So although intelligent prediction does appear
to have some constraints, there are still very large areas
where it can be relied upon. Within the oceans of chaos there
is much dry land upon which to build a rational intellect.
It
is further presumed that computers are deterministic and humans
non deterministic. I.e. given an initial set of conditions,
a computer can only ever follow a predetermined course. Whereas
a human, with 'free will', can follow his own. For all intents
and purposes both can be considered non deterministic, though
statistically predictable. The study of human twins illustrates
how the same largely deterministic genetic inheritance can
be affected by real world chaotic forces. Like internal brain
chemistry guiding emotions; sensory data flow, unique first
person perspectives and the resulting memory structures; differentiated
emotional responses etc. Add all these variables and more
together and you have a combinatorial explosion. Genuine AI
will similarly benefit from many of these same forces. Even
blind random inputs could be easily added if found beneficial.
Intelligence
is non judgmental and the pursuit of knowledge morally neutral.
But any action affecting other conscious entities creates
moral hazard. Morality arises from the exigencies of biological
survival within a social framework and is dominated by genetic
and social programming biases. For instance:
The
primary genetically derived grading process leads to the basic
positive moral status of survival (existence), feeding and
mating. Secondary genetic and socially trained schemas lead
to the moral grading of simulations involving cultural concepts
such as cooperation, altruism, group patriotism, treachery,
over consumption, monogamy etc.
